Forecasting Honey Production in Çanakkale province by Arima Model
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.24925/turjaf.v14i4.1044-1049.8471Keywords:
Beekeeping, ARIMA, Honey, Çanakkale, ProductionAbstract
Beekeeping that is one of the livestock activities is one of the sectors with significant added value in the country's economy. In addition to honey production, products like propolis, pollen and royal jelly are also produced in beekeeping activities. As in Türkiye, the demand for beekeeping products is increasing in Çanakkale province due to population growth. In order to make appropriate policy inferences against this increasing demand, it is crucial to comprehend the future course of honey production. Forecasting honey production and making informed decisions on the beekeeping sector’s future requires the implementation of production plans. The study aims to predict honey production amount in Çanakkale province for the period 2025-2030 using honey production data covering the periods 1999-2024. Honey production was estimated using the ARIMA model. According to the research results, honey production in Çanakkale province is estimated to be approximately 2.325 tons in 2025 and 2.639 tons in 2030. Consequently, the estimates of honey production are expected to provide valuable information to policymakers and decision makers.
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